An economic growth of the country between the 6 and the 9%. Thus promised the coalitions and parties of Kosovo in view of the early elections of the next 6 October.
In fact, as also highlighted by the site of Radio Evropa and Lirë, the numbers are unreal and the best economists categorically deny them, reducing them to a mere election campaign.
On the other hand, they have on their side the projections made by the International Monetary Fund, which even provides for lowered percentages. If for the 2019 the IMF attests an average growth of 4.2%, for the four-year period 2020-2024 drops to 4%.
The reason for these numbers that seem to be thrown a little at random is essentially that growth at 4% does not seem optimal for solving the chronic problems of Kosovo, such as unemployment and poverty. Problems on which we can get to work concretely where 6% growth is reached, even better around 9%.
Safet Gerxhaliu, an economic expert, said that the promises at this time of the elections cannot be considered real. Even more so in a disorderly financial context, such as that of Kosovo, which has reduced the attractiveness of investing for foreign partners.
A veiled accusation by the economist to the Kosovar political class, who with his incapacity has neglected to substantially reform many sectors of the country's economy. Just as Gerxhaliu makes it clear, there will not be air of significant improvements if one looks at the names present among the candidates for the next elections, for which the priority is to reach the normalization of diplomatic relations with Serbia.
Another economic expert, Naim Gashi, points out the contradictions of government programs, which aim to strengthen the welfare and salaries of the public sector, without considering that the driving force of the Kosovo economy is, instead, the private sector.
The political parties, according to him, would have done better to show themselves cautious but optimistic, remaining on a growth projection of 1% for the next 4 years, working, at the same time, on all those measures that would concretize growth, for example support for companies private, favorable tax policies, fight against tax evasion.
So, go to the next 6 October. From the voting process, the new composition of the Kosovo Assembly will be released. After that, the winning party or coalition will receive a mandate to form the next government, which will have a four-year constitutional mandate.